Stringency index and various 'Covid-19 metrics in Europe (part 1)
All data come from covid.ourworldindata.org / focus on Europe or Western Europe
Reproduction rate vs Stringency index in Europe, overall R² = 2.36%
Positive rate vs Stringency index in Europe, R²=3.99%
(notice fitted values higher for positive rate when stringency index higher)
New cases per million vs Stringency index in Europe, R²=1.09%
Weekly hospi. admission / mil. vs Stringency index in Europe, R²=1.52%
Weekly ICU admission / mil. vs Stringency index in Europe, R²=0.68%
New deaths / mil. vs Stringency index in Europe, R²=4.76%
(notice it is the largest overall R²)
Evolution of stringency index over time in Western Europe
Sensitivity of reproduction rate to stringency index in Western Europe (30 days rolling window regression)